Here is a comprehensive list of my published work on forecasting, including links to articles.
Books
‘Future Ready: How to Master Business Forecasting’, John Wiley and Sons November 2009
‘The Little Book of Operational Forecasting’, Matador Press, May 2018.
Contributions to Books and Articles
Gilliland, Tashman, Sglavo (eds): ‘Business Forecasting: Practical Problems and Solutions’, John Wiley and Sons 2015, Preface and reproduced Foresight Articles
Journal Articles – Forecasting
‘Using Forecasting to Steer the Business: Six Principles,’ Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting Issue 16, Winter 2010, 4-11
‘The Forecasting Process: Guiding Principles Part 1,’ Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2011, issue 22, pages 5-12
‘The Forecasting Process: Guiding Principles Part 2’, Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2011, issue 23, pages 5- 9
‘How Good Is a “Good” Forecast? Forecast Errors and Their Avoidability.’ Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 30 Summer 2013, 5-11.
‘Do Forecasting Methods Reduce Avoidable Error? Evidence from Forecasting Competitions.’ Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 32 Winter 2013, 34-39.
‘Forecastability and Forecast Quality in The Supply Chain.’ Foresight : The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 33 Spring 2014, 26-31.
‘Using Relative Error Metrics to Improve Forecast Quality in the Supply Chain’, Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting Issue 34, Summer 2014, 39-46.
Measuring the Quality of Intermittent-Demand Forecasts: It’s Worse than We’ve Thought! Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting Issue 37, Spring 2015, 37-42
‘A Better Way to Assess The Quality of Demand Forecasts,’ Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting Issue 38, Summer 2015, 15-20.
‘Superforecasting:
The Art and Science of Prediction
by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner (Review), Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting Issue 40, Winter 2015, 8-11
‘Using Error Analysis to Improve Forecast Performance’, Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting Issue 41, Spring 2016, 37-44
‘Recoupling the Forecasting and Stock Control Processes’, with Syntetos, Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting Issue 44 Winter 2017
‘Risk vs Uncertainty: Commentary on ‘A Better Crystal Ball’ by Tetlock and Scoblic’ Issue 62, 2021.
‘Into the (Largely) Unknown: A Simple Way to Handle Uncertainty’, with Goodwin, Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting Issue 63, 2021
‘Into the (Largely) Unknown, Part 2: Uses of Fuzzy Forecasting’ with Goodwin, Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting Issue 64 2022
Measuring the Cost of Forecast Error Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 31-35 Issue 68, 2023
